Wednesday, December 4, 2013

UKRAINE: ANOTHER DISASTROUS “ORANGE REVOLUTION?”


Ukraine has been a country of Slavic people who experienced successive  occupation and governance by  Mongols, Poles,  Lithuanians,  Turks,  Germans, and Russians. In 1922  Ukraine became a republic within the USSR,  more commonly known then as the Soviet Union.  The dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 brought independence to Ukraine - by default!

But independence was not a “happily ever after” for Ukraine.  History has proven that independence from colonial rulers or from breakup of states - like Yugoslavia- bring internal civil strife and turmoil until new states learn how to govern themselves democratically.   And even then,  more internal conflicts among parties bring further turmoil, as the current anti-government demonstrations in Thailand and Ukraine  show.   Democracy brings freedom,  but  some time that freedom becomes like a cattle stampede that tramples the civilized concepts of democratic governance!

That’s Ukraine today!  And it is history repeating itself, as it did in 2004 with the so-called “Orange Revolution”  (Orange color of the protesting flags).  But that Ukrainian uprisings was about “fraudulent elections,”  won by Viktor  Yanukovych -current president-  not about government policy as are today’s protests.  The Orange Revolution forced the annulment of those elections, and the Orange Revolution  favorite, Viktor Yushchenko, won the re-run elections.  Yushchenko won that election with plenty of support from the Western media  who depicted him as a democrat,  while it portrayed Viktor Yanukovych, the leader of the Party of Regions in mostly Russian speaking Eastern Ukraine, as a  Russian stooge.  

Viktor Yushchesnko’s  rule turned out to be too corrupt and outlandish,  and the idol of the Western countries sank in the polls as his campaign promises didn’t materialize,  and unemployment and social discontent became widespread.  The discontent was topped by a report of the International Organization of Migration that estimated  117.000  Ukrainians were trafficked into forced labor or prostitution since 1991!  Yushchenko lost badly in the next elections, and his prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko was convicted for corruption and she is till in prison.  

Viktor Yanukovych  returned to power with a solid parliamentary majority.  The European Union(EU), which has failed to lure Ukraine into the Union under Yushchenko, renewed its efforts to do so under Yanukovych,  and an accord was negotiated.  But after Russia raised some objections over some EU trade clauses with Ukraine that would have harmed commerce with Russia,  Yanukovych  refused to ratify it!   Then came the Western media headlines again that Yanukovych was buckling ro Russian pressure not to sign the EU accord,  and the leftovers of the Yushchenko and Tymoshenko supporters  hit the streets for another “Orange Revolution”  demanding that  Yanukovych’s government resigns and news elections be held.  But with a solid majority in the parliament,  Yanukovych’s party defeated a motion for new elections,  and he just choose to ignore the protesters.   

The new leader of the opposition, Vitali  Klitschko,  relies heavily on former supporters of  Viktor Yushchenko and Yulia Tymoshenko.  He is a Ukrainian heavyweight boxer with 43 knockouts on his 45 bouts boxing record, and he aspires to score his 44th  knockout, but  in politics,  by ousting Viktor Yanukovich  from office!   And he has wide support from the Western media propaganda who inflates his relative small rallies as massive anti-Yanukovych  protests.  BBC America reported on December 3, 2013,  5pm (Central Time)  that “thousands of protesters were camping outside the government’s offices,” and showed video with fires lit by protesters to keep warm.  But a U.S. Public Broadcasting Network (PBS)  reporter that spend the night with protesters reported on December 4, 2013,  7.00 am (Central Time) that  “only 200 protesters" camped outside the government’s building!   

This distorted view of massively inflating the Ukrainian protests by the Western media to discredit Viktor Yanukovych - who the West considers as pro-Russian, brings to mind the same inflation of  the anti-government protests in Venezuela, Iran and Brazil  -  all against governments not friendly with the U.S.,  the imperial lord of Europe,  while reducing the size of anti-U.S. protests in Pakistan, Yemen, or muffles altogether the massive anti-U.S. protests against the U.S. military bases in Okinawa, Japan.  NHK  (Japan’s Global TV broadcasts in English)  has reported repeated massive 50.000 people or more Okinawans protests  against the U.S. bases there, but those protests have always been censored by the Western media!    Even Russian president’s Vladimir Putin  statement that “the anti-Yanukovych rallies in Ukraine were instigated by outsiders,”   an indirect reference to the U.S. and Europe,  fell on deaf ears in the Western media, or  were passed as a footnote!

The current pro-European protests in Ukraine remind us similar protests in Georgia who brought the pro-Western leader Mikhael Saakashvili  into office in 2004.  It was a disaster that not only drove into bankruptcy the Georgian wine industry and other business after Russia banned imports of Georgian wine and other products,  but also Georgia lost two provinces,  Abkhazia and South Ossetia,   who declared their independence from Georgia with Russian  military back up!  Ukraine is heavily depended on Russian exports and imports,  as well as on most of its military industry and supplies.   The West would like to bring Ukraine in and isolate Russia,  but most Ukrainians see it as suicidal.  And looking at the near bankruptcy of the EU states of Greece, Italy,  Spain, Portugal, and Ireland,  they would rather forget the EU integration and remain as free agents to get the best deals with both Europe, Russia, and even China,  where Yanukovych is currently visiting  to open up new trade opportunities in Asia.   

The Epilogue:   There won’t be another “Orange Revolution” in Ukraine as the Western media portray the current protests there - because the first “Orange Revolution” idolized by the West as  the  embodiment of democracy was a political disaster!   I believe most Ukrainians have learned a lesson from the Viktor Yushchenko and Yulia Tymoshenko  rotten "oranges revolution" to  risk another encore! 
Nikos Retsos, retired professor

                                            

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